High Yield Spread: How to Read Credit Spreads as a Stock Signal
The high yield spread is the extra yield junk bonds pay over Treasuries. How to read its level, its rate of change, and why equity traders watch it.
7 min readThe high yield spread is the extra yield junk bonds pay over Treasuries. How to read its level, its rate of change, and why equity traders watch it.
7 min readMarket crash indicators ranked by what they measure and when they fire — breadth, credit, volatility, leverage and the yield curve — plus a dashboard you can score.
8 min readThe Herfindahl index turns index weights into one concentration number. Learn the formula, the effective number of stocks, and how to read a dot-com-peak comparison.
8 min readThe bullish percent index counts the share of stocks on point-and-figure buy signals. Learn the formula, the six BPI signals, and how to read a record high with it.
9 min readHow to build the up/down volume line, calculate a Lowry-style 90% down day, and use volume breadth to tell a liquidation from an orderly selloff.
10 min readWhat a breadth divergence is, how to confirm one across the A/D line, percent above 200-day and net new highs, and how long the warning typically leads.
7 min readThe Hindenburg Omen flags a split tape — new highs and new lows expanding together. Learn the real criteria, the base rates, and how desks actually read it.
8 min readThe tick index ($TICK) counts NYSE stocks on upticks minus downticks in real time. Learn the key levels — ±800, ±1000 — and how desks trade the extremes.
8 min readHow to read the percent of stocks above the 200-day moving average: key thresholds, divergences, and a worked example from a narrowing rally.
7 min readThe advance-decline ratio divides advancers by decliners to grade a single session's participation. Learn the formula, key thresholds, and how to use it.
8 min readWhat the equity put call ratio measures, the thresholds that mark sentiment extremes, and how to use the signal without getting run over by the crowd.
7 min readThe Arms Index (TRIN) compares breadth to volume to show where the money is actually flowing. Learn the formula, key thresholds, and how desks read it.
8 min readEqual weight vs cap weight changes what an index fund actually bets on. Learn how each is built, when equal weight outperforms, and how to read the spread.
8 min readMargin debt tracks how much investors borrow to buy stocks. Learn to read its year-over-year rate of change to gauge late-cycle leverage risk.
8 min readThe McClellan Oscillator turns daily advance-decline data into a breadth momentum gauge. Learn the formula, the key thresholds, and how to read its signals.
8 min readA breadth thrust indicator flags the violent shift from washout to broad buying. Learn the Zweig Breadth Thrust formula, thresholds, and how to read a thrust off a low.
8 min readThe new highs–new lows indicator counts stocks hitting 52-week extremes. Learn to read net new highs and the High-Low Index to spot a narrowing rally early.
8 min readStock market concentration measures how much of an index a handful of mega-caps drive. Learn how to gauge it, why it raises risk, and how to trade around it.
8 min readThe advance-decline line tracks how many stocks rise versus fall each day. Learn to read this breadth indicator and spot divergences before a rally cracks.
7 min readMarket breadth indicators show whether a rally is broad or carried by a handful of stocks. Learn the core measures, divergences, and a daily routine.
8 min read